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Essays

One argument, in five parts.

Read them in order if you can. Each one stands on its own, but they build.

July 30, 2026

The Consequence Clock

The person-level one

You work at the speed you are checked, not the speed you are capable of.

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July 31, 2026

The Blast Door

The time limit

A person plus a nearly-free intelligence can build something of their own. That era is real, it is short, and it is closing.

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October 1, 2026

The Blast Radius

How far it reaches inside the building

How far AI reaches from your desk depends on three things: whether you ask it or instruct it, what it is connected to, and where you sit.

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October 29, 2026

The Crossfire

Where two circles cross

When the people around you cross the AI line, the work between you gets done twice, then once, then by nobody. The people at risk aren't the ones who failed to learn AI. They're the ones standing where everyone around them already did.

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November 10, 2026

The Second Language

You stopped translating

You don't know you've crossed the AI line when you learn the tools. You know when you stop translating, when you think in outcomes instead of steps and nobody had to teach you how.

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Two that stand alone

July 24, 2026

The Kerzie Effect

The firm-level argument

The most valuable thing you sell is the document you hand over free to win the work. Once the buyer has it, an AI can do the work you used to be paid for.

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October 9, 2026

The Shrapnel

Your website is breaking apart

For twenty years we packed every job a business has into its website. AI is pulling those jobs back out, one at a time, and the businesses that keep the pieces straight are the ones machines will recommend.

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Appendix

July 25, 2026

If you’re on the wrong side of the line

Appendix to The Kerzie Effect

The Kerzie Effect has two preconditions: cross the AI competency line, and work from one window. If you are missing one, this is what to do about it.

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