Essays

One argument, in three parts.

Read them in the order I wrote them if you can. Each one stands on its own, but they build.

July 24, 2026

The Kerzie Effect

The firm-level argument

The most valuable thing you sell is the document you hand over free to win the work. Once the buyer has it, an AI can do the work you used to be paid for.

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July 30, 2026

The Consequence Clock

The person-level one

You work at the speed you are checked, not the speed you are capable of.

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July 31, 2026

The Blast Door

The time limit on both

A person plus a nearly-free intelligence can build something of their own. That era is real, it is short, and it is closing.

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Appendix

July 25, 2026

If you’re on the wrong side of the line

Appendix to The Kerzie Effect

The Kerzie Effect has two preconditions: cross the AI competency line, and work from one window. If you are missing one, this is what to do about it.

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Coming next: The Blast Radius